EVALUATION OF THE FREQUENCY OF DIAGNOSTICS OF COMPONENTS AND ASSEMBLIES FOR TRANSPORT AND TECHNOLOGICAL MACHINES ON THE BASIS OF HIDDEN MARKOV CHAINS

Andrey Borisovich Nikolaev, Boris Vladislavovich Sakun, Maria Yurievna Karelina, Sergey Nikolaevich Satyshev, Vitaliy Alekseevich Bugrimov


Аннотация


In this article a statistical analysis of supply volumes of spare parts, components and accessories was carried out, with some persistent patterns and laws of distribution of failures of major components revealed. There are suggested evaluation models of components and assemblies reliability for the formation of order management procedures of spare parts, components and accessories for the maintenance and repair of transport and technological machines. For the purpose of identification of components operational condition there is proposed a model of hidden Markov chain which allows to classify the condition by indirect evidence, based on the collected statistics.


Ключевые слова


Transport machines; diagnostics; components and assemblies; Markov chains; statistical analysis; maintenance; repair and orders management

Полный текст:

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Литература


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.12731/2227-930X-2016-4-23-36

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(c) 2017 Andrey Borisovich Nikolaev, Boris Vladislavovich Sakun, Maria Yurievna Karelina, Sergey Nikolaevich Satyshev, Vitaliy Alekseevich Bugrimov

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ISSN 2328-1391 (print), ISSN 2227-930X (online)